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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.10+7.31vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.99+4.88vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.09+2.98vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.15+5.00vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.55-0.58vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00+3.90vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-0.63vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.99+1.63vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.97-2.03vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.14-1.67vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.13-2.01vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.71-5.03vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.48-1.82vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.15-1.72vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College-0.13-1.58vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.22-7.36vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-1.22-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.31Harvard University2.105.0%1st Place
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6.88Brown University1.998.5%1st Place
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5.98Boston College2.099.7%1st Place
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9.0Tufts University1.154.4%1st Place
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4.42Yale University2.5517.2%1st Place
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9.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.003.8%1st Place
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6.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.779.8%1st Place
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9.63University of Rhode Island0.994.0%1st Place
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6.97Roger Williams University1.977.7%1st Place
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8.33Boston University1.145.9%1st Place
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8.99Bowdoin College1.134.9%1st Place
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6.97Dartmouth College1.718.6%1st Place
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11.18University of Vermont0.482.8%1st Place
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12.28Maine Maritime Academy0.151.4%1st Place
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13.42Connecticut College-0.131.4%1st Place
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8.64Northeastern University1.224.7%1st Place
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15.72Middlebury College-1.220.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Katharine Doble | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Emma Cowles | 17.2% | 16.5% | 13.9% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Slovensky | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 1.7% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 1.5% |
| Lucy Meagher | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Rebecca Schill | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| bella casaretto | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 4.0% |
| Jane Marvin | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 15.4% | 19.6% | 7.4% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 15.4% | 26.8% | 16.7% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Helen Coughlin | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 13.2% | 65.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.