Race 2A

troy-swetman

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Alfred Robbins 30.5% 22.4% 17.0% 10.5% 9.6% 5.4% 2.4% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1%
Scott Proctor 14.8% 17.1% 16.2% 13.7% 12.6% 9.9% 8.3% 4.5% 2.5% 0.4%
Collin Weston 13.9% 12.2% 15.0% 14.2% 13.9% 11.9% 10.8% 5.2% 2.6% 0.3%
Schuyler Hemmerdinger 5.1% 7.5% 9.9% 9.8% 11.8% 12.2% 14.1% 14.1% 11.0% 4.5%
Rebekka Urbina 10.2% 10.1% 10.2% 12.5% 12.4% 15.1% 11.9% 10.4% 5.3% 1.9%
Laura Stamets 12.3% 13.2% 12.3% 14.5% 13.3% 11.6% 10.9% 7.6% 3.5% 0.8%
Conrad Wineland 2.0% 1.4% 2.7% 4.1% 5.7% 5.4% 8.7% 15.2% 23.5% 31.3%
Nicholas Chong 3.2% 3.5% 4.5% 6.1% 6.2% 8.0% 10.5% 17.1% 22.2% 18.7%
Ryan Carden 1.8% 2.1% 2.6% 3.3% 3.9% 4.4% 10.0% 12.5% 20.8% 38.6%
Benjamin Kennady 6.2% 10.5% 9.6% 11.3% 10.6% 16.1% 12.4% 11.6% 8.3% 3.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.