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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.64+4.06vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire1.24+2.11vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-0.65vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College1.52-0.65vs Predicted
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5Wesleyan University-1.20+2.83vs Predicted
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6Sacred Heart University0.12-0.05vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut1.13-2.85vs Predicted
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8Wentworth Institute of Technology0.56-2.79vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy-0.48-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.06Fairfield University0.640.1%1st Place
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4.11University of New Hampshire1.240.1%1st Place
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2.35Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.4%1st Place
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3.35Middlebury College1.520.2%1st Place
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7.83Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
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5.95Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
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4.15University of Connecticut1.130.1%1st Place
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5.21Wentworth Institute of Technology0.560.1%1st Place
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6.99Maine Maritime Academy-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lillian Vincens | 7.0% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 17.5% | 16.3% | 10.5% | 3.5% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 10.1% | 13.7% | 16.2% | 19.6% | 15.6% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Frank Reeg | 37.5% | 25.9% | 15.6% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brown | 18.7% | 19.7% | 19.4% | 14.9% | 12.7% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Maia Nelles-Sager | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 18.6% | 55.2% |
| Brian Reilly | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 22.3% | 19.6% | 8.7% |
| Jennifer Lee | 11.4% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 17.3% | 15.6% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| John Zupkus | 7.3% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 15.1% | 16.5% | 15.1% | 12.7% | 4.7% |
| Huxley Conner | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 10.5% | 15.5% | 28.5% | 25.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.