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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+1.36vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College1.52+0.60vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut1.13+0.19vs Predicted
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5Wentworth Institute of Technology0.56+0.12vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University0.64-1.08vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University0.12-1.01vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire1.24-4.06vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy-0.48-2.04vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University-1.20-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.36Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.4%1st Place
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3.6Middlebury College1.520.1%1st Place
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4.19University of Connecticut1.130.1%1st Place
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5.12Wentworth Institute of Technology0.560.1%1st Place
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4.92Fairfield University0.640.1%1st Place
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5.99Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
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3.94University of New Hampshire1.240.1%1st Place
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6.96Maine Maritime Academy-0.480.0%1st Place
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7.91Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frank Reeg | 37.0% | 24.8% | 17.9% | 10.8% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brown | 14.6% | 19.7% | 19.4% | 14.7% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Jennifer Lee | 10.7% | 15.4% | 12.9% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 14.7% | 10.5% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| John Zupkus | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 16.6% | 16.1% | 10.9% | 3.9% |
| Lillian Vincens | 7.6% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 14.7% | 9.4% | 4.5% |
| Brian Reilly | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 21.3% | 20.2% | 8.8% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 14.1% | 13.3% | 15.8% | 16.9% | 17.3% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 0.2% |
| Huxley Conner | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 16.0% | 29.7% | 24.0% |
| Maia Nelles-Sager | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 8.3% | 19.7% | 56.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.