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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College1.52+2.43vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+0.47vs Predicted
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3Sacred Heart University0.12+3.06vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut1.13-0.91vs Predicted
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6Wentworth Institute of Technology0.56-0.92vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University0.64-1.96vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire1.24-4.04vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University-1.20-1.07vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy-0.48-3.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.43Middlebury College1.520.2%1st Place
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2.47Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.3%1st Place
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6.06Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
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4.09University of Connecticut1.130.1%1st Place
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5.08Wentworth Institute of Technology0.560.1%1st Place
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5.04Fairfield University0.640.1%1st Place
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3.96University of New Hampshire1.240.1%1st Place
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7.93Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
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6.94Maine Maritime Academy-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Brown | 20.3% | 17.0% | 17.7% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Frank Reeg | 32.5% | 27.7% | 17.1% | 12.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Brian Reilly | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 22.1% | 20.6% | 8.6% |
| Jennifer Lee | 11.9% | 13.3% | 15.3% | 18.4% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 9.2% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| John Zupkus | 6.4% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 16.1% | 10.2% | 5.4% |
| Lillian Vincens | 8.2% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 18.9% | 15.2% | 10.4% | 2.9% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 12.6% | 14.9% | 16.6% | 14.5% | 17.8% | 12.6% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Maia Nelles-Sager | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 8.0% | 19.1% | 58.2% |
| Huxley Conner | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 15.0% | 31.4% | 23.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.