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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire1.74+1.68vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+0.58vs Predicted
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3Wesleyan University0.55+1.77vs Predicted
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4Brown University0.23+1.19vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut0.19+0.23vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College0.67-2.56vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy0.17-2.59vs Predicted
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9Sacred Heart University-0.40-2.60vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University-1.92-1.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68University of New Hampshire1.740.3%1st Place
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2.58Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.3%1st Place
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4.77Wesleyan University0.550.1%1st Place
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5.19Brown University0.230.1%1st Place
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5.23University of Connecticut0.190.1%1st Place
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4.44Middlebury College0.670.1%1st Place
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5.41Maine Maritime Academy0.170.1%1st Place
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6.4Sacred Heart University-0.400.0%1st Place
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8.32Fairfield University-1.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Amaral | 29.6% | 23.3% | 19.9% | 12.9% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 29.9% | 26.9% | 18.7% | 12.1% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 8.0% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 8.9% | 2.1% |
| Sean O'Keefe | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 16.3% | 14.9% | 2.6% |
| George Williams | 6.2% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 4.7% |
| Meghan Colwell | 9.6% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 15.6% | 17.0% | 14.7% | 11.4% | 5.9% | 0.9% |
| Liam O'Leary | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 18.0% | 16.5% | 14.9% | 4.1% |
| Rebecca Rutkiewicz | 3.5% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 18.8% | 28.9% | 11.6% |
| Lauren Ten Hoopen | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 11.2% | 74.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.