← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+1.49vs Predicted
-
2University of New Hampshire1.74+0.81vs Predicted
-
3University of Connecticut0.19+2.42vs Predicted
-
4Brown University0.23+1.16vs Predicted
-
5Maine Maritime Academy0.17+0.25vs Predicted
-
6Wesleyan University0.55-1.34vs Predicted
-
7Sacred Heart University-0.40-0.56vs Predicted
-
9Middlebury College0.67-4.54vs Predicted
-
10Fairfield University-1.92-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.49Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.3%1st Place
-
2.81University of New Hampshire1.740.2%1st Place
-
5.42University of Connecticut0.190.1%1st Place
-
5.16Brown University0.230.1%1st Place
-
5.25Maine Maritime Academy0.170.1%1st Place
-
4.66Wesleyan University0.550.1%1st Place
-
6.44Sacred Heart University-0.400.0%1st Place
-
4.46Middlebury College0.670.1%1st Place
-
8.31Fairfield University-1.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Adam | 32.7% | 25.6% | 19.4% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| James Amaral | 24.9% | 26.0% | 19.8% | 13.4% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| George Williams | 5.6% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 16.6% | 16.7% | 3.9% |
| Sean O'Keefe | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 15.9% | 14.0% | 16.3% | 13.9% | 2.6% |
| Liam O'Leary | 6.3% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 17.0% | 13.4% | 5.0% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 17.3% | 12.5% | 8.0% | 1.1% |
| Rebecca Rutkiewicz | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 18.4% | 29.0% | 12.1% |
| Meghan Colwell | 10.4% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 16.9% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 1.5% |
| Lauren Ten Hoopen | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 11.3% | 73.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.