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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+1.63vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy0.17+3.04vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire1.74-1.16vs Predicted
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5Wesleyan University0.55-0.06vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College0.67-1.34vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut0.19-1.28vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University0.27-2.38vs Predicted
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9Sacred Heart University-0.40-2.13vs Predicted
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10Brown University0.23-4.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.63Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.3%1st Place
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6.04Maine Maritime Academy0.170.0%1st Place
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2.84University of New Hampshire1.740.3%1st Place
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4.94Wesleyan University0.550.1%1st Place
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4.66Middlebury College0.670.1%1st Place
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5.72University of Connecticut0.190.1%1st Place
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5.62Fairfield University0.270.1%1st Place
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6.87Sacred Heart University-0.400.0%1st Place
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5.7Brown University0.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Adam | 30.4% | 25.9% | 17.9% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Liam O'Leary | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 15.6% | 16.3% | 16.4% |
| James Amaral | 27.3% | 22.7% | 18.4% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 8.0% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 6.2% |
| Meghan Colwell | 9.1% | 13.3% | 15.1% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 5.1% |
| George Williams | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 16.9% | 13.5% | 13.0% |
| Thomas Beardsley | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 11.0% |
| Rebecca Rutkiewicz | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 17.0% | 35.5% |
| Sean O'Keefe | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 16.8% | 12.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.