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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Connecticut0.19+3.83vs Predicted
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3Wesleyan University0.55+2.31vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-1.33vs Predicted
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5Brown University0.23+0.68vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College0.67-1.21vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University-0.40-0.08vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire1.74-5.10vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy0.17-3.13vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University0.59-4.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.83University of Connecticut0.190.1%1st Place
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5.31Wesleyan University0.550.1%1st Place
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2.67Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.3%1st Place
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5.68Brown University0.230.1%1st Place
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4.79Middlebury College0.670.1%1st Place
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6.92Sacred Heart University-0.400.0%1st Place
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2.9University of New Hampshire1.740.2%1st Place
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5.87Maine Maritime Academy0.170.1%1st Place
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5.04Fairfield University0.590.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Williams | 6.4% | 5.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 17.0% | 14.3% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 5.5% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 15.7% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 8.0% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 31.1% | 22.8% | 18.0% | 13.8% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Sean O'Keefe | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 15.4% | 14.3% | 13.0% |
| Meghan Colwell | 9.1% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 7.0% |
| Rebecca Rutkiewicz | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 13.5% | 17.8% | 35.4% |
| James Amaral | 24.6% | 26.5% | 16.0% | 14.6% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam O'Leary | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 17.6% | 15.5% |
| Brian Daley | 8.5% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.