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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+1.66vs Predicted
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3University of Connecticut0.19+3.05vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire1.74-1.12vs Predicted
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5Wesleyan University0.550.00vs Predicted
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6Sacred Heart University-0.40+0.80vs Predicted
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7Brown University0.23-1.28vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University0.59-2.96vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College0.67-4.09vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy0.17-4.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.3%1st Place
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6.05University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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2.88University of New Hampshire1.740.3%1st Place
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5.0Wesleyan University0.550.1%1st Place
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6.8Sacred Heart University-0.400.0%1st Place
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5.72Brown University0.230.1%1st Place
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5.04Fairfield University0.590.1%1st Place
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4.91Middlebury College0.670.1%1st Place
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5.93Maine Maritime Academy0.170.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Adam | 29.1% | 26.4% | 18.3% | 11.8% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| George Williams | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 17.3% | 17.1% |
| James Amaral | 27.0% | 22.1% | 17.7% | 15.3% | 9.5% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 8.0% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 6.5% |
| Rebecca Rutkiewicz | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 16.3% | 35.5% |
| Sean O'Keefe | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 14.9% | 16.0% | 15.1% | 12.4% |
| Brian Daley | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 5.7% |
| Meghan Colwell | 9.1% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 6.4% |
| Liam O'Leary | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 16.8% | 16.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.