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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Wesleyan University0.55+2.81vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-0.43vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire1.74-1.22vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University0.59-0.19vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy0.17-0.41vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College0.67-2.43vs Predicted
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8Brown University0.23-2.52vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut0.19-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.81Wesleyan University0.550.1%1st Place
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2.57Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.3%1st Place
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2.78University of New Hampshire1.740.3%1st Place
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4.81Fairfield University0.590.1%1st Place
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5.59Maine Maritime Academy0.170.1%1st Place
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4.57Middlebury College0.670.1%1st Place
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5.48Brown University0.230.1%1st Place
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5.39University of Connecticut0.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Barton | 8.1% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 15.7% | 13.9% | 15.7% | 11.5% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 31.3% | 25.6% | 17.7% | 12.4% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| James Amaral | 26.7% | 24.3% | 19.9% | 13.2% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Brian Daley | 7.9% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 12.0% |
| Liam O'Leary | 5.0% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 16.7% | 18.5% | 23.1% |
| Meghan Colwell | 9.3% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 9.3% |
| Sean O'Keefe | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 15.1% | 17.8% | 23.0% |
| George Williams | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 16.1% | 17.3% | 20.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.