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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire1.74+1.77vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+0.58vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.23+2.42vs Predicted
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4Wesleyan University0.55+0.89vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University0.59-0.20vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut0.19-0.53vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy0.17-1.45vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College0.67-3.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.77University of New Hampshire1.740.3%1st Place
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2.58Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.3%1st Place
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5.42Brown University0.230.1%1st Place
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4.89Wesleyan University0.550.1%1st Place
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4.8Fairfield University0.590.1%1st Place
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5.47University of Connecticut0.190.1%1st Place
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5.55Maine Maritime Academy0.170.1%1st Place
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4.51Middlebury College0.670.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Amaral | 27.1% | 25.4% | 18.0% | 13.2% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 31.4% | 25.7% | 17.4% | 12.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Sean O'Keefe | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 13.3% | 15.2% | 19.5% | 20.4% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 7.5% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 16.1% | 15.4% | 15.7% | 12.1% |
| Brian Daley | 7.4% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 15.5% | 15.7% | 10.6% |
| George Williams | 6.0% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 16.0% | 15.9% | 23.3% |
| Liam O'Leary | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 17.9% | 24.8% |
| Meghan Colwell | 9.3% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 15.1% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.