← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Scott Proctor 16.7% 17.0% 14.3% 15.4% 10.2% 10.8% 8.1% 5.3% 1.4% 0.8%
Laura Stamets 11.4% 11.0% 14.9% 12.9% 12.6% 13.2% 11.2% 8.4% 3.9% 0.5%
Alfred Robbins 27.4% 20.9% 18.2% 15.5% 8.6% 5.1% 2.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Collin Weston 12.9% 14.9% 14.5% 13.9% 15.3% 11.0% 8.8% 5.6% 2.6% 0.5%
Schuyler Hemmerdinger 7.5% 8.6% 7.1% 8.2% 12.6% 13.6% 14.3% 14.3% 9.8% 4.0%
Benjamin Kennady 9.3% 8.9% 8.6% 10.7% 12.4% 14.1% 12.2% 12.8% 8.3% 2.7%
Ryan Carden 1.5% 1.8% 2.0% 2.6% 4.0% 5.1% 9.2% 12.5% 23.7% 37.6%
Rebekka Urbina 8.3% 11.7% 11.5% 12.2% 13.6% 12.2% 12.4% 10.0% 6.0% 2.1%
Conrad Wineland 2.3% 1.7% 3.9% 3.4% 4.7% 6.5% 9.1% 13.1% 23.5% 31.8%
Nicholas Chong 2.7% 3.5% 5.0% 5.2% 6.0% 8.4% 11.9% 16.8% 20.5% 20.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.