← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University2.10+7.33vs Predicted
-
2Yale University2.55+2.53vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont0.48+8.04vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University1.15+4.89vs Predicted
-
5Boston University1.14+3.44vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island0.99+3.40vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College1.71-0.05vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College1.13+1.04vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-2.54vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University1.22-1.10vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00-1.22vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University1.97-5.07vs Predicted
-
13Boston College2.09-7.13vs Predicted
-
14Brown University1.99-7.07vs Predicted
-
15Connecticut College-0.13-1.35vs Predicted
-
16Maine Maritime Academy0.15-3.47vs Predicted
-
17Middlebury College-1.22-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.33Harvard University2.105.1%1st Place
-
4.53Yale University2.5516.6%1st Place
-
11.04University of Vermont0.482.5%1st Place
-
8.89Tufts University1.155.1%1st Place
-
8.44Boston University1.145.3%1st Place
-
9.4University of Rhode Island0.994.5%1st Place
-
6.95Dartmouth College1.718.1%1st Place
-
9.04Bowdoin College1.134.7%1st Place
-
6.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.778.9%1st Place
-
8.9Northeastern University1.224.5%1st Place
-
9.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.004.3%1st Place
-
6.93Roger Williams University1.977.7%1st Place
-
5.87Boston College2.0911.2%1st Place
-
6.93Brown University1.998.2%1st Place
-
13.65Connecticut College-0.131.0%1st Place
-
12.53Maine Maritime Academy0.151.7%1st Place
-
15.35Middlebury College-1.220.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Emma Cowles | 16.6% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 4.2% |
| Ella Hubbard | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| bella casaretto | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Rebecca Schill | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Laura Slovensky | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 1.6% |
| Lucy Meagher | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 13.7% | 25.8% | 20.9% |
| Jane Marvin | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 17.1% | 18.6% | 10.5% |
| Helen Coughlin | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 16.0% | 58.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.