← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+1.53vs Predicted
-
2University of New Hampshire1.74+0.83vs Predicted
-
3Fairfield University0.59+1.78vs Predicted
-
4University of Connecticut0.19+1.52vs Predicted
-
5Brown University0.23+0.41vs Predicted
-
6Maine Maritime Academy0.17-0.49vs Predicted
-
7Middlebury College0.67-2.34vs Predicted
-
8Wesleyan University0.55-3.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.3%1st Place
-
2.83University of New Hampshire1.740.3%1st Place
-
4.78Fairfield University0.590.1%1st Place
-
5.52University of Connecticut0.190.1%1st Place
-
5.41Brown University0.230.1%1st Place
-
5.51Maine Maritime Academy0.170.1%1st Place
-
4.66Middlebury College0.670.1%1st Place
-
4.75Wesleyan University0.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Adam | 33.0% | 24.3% | 19.3% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| James Amaral | 25.6% | 24.9% | 18.5% | 13.8% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Brian Daley | 8.3% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 16.1% | 15.8% | 10.6% |
| George Williams | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 16.9% | 24.5% |
| Sean O'Keefe | 5.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 16.4% | 18.7% | 19.7% |
| Liam O'Leary | 5.9% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 17.4% | 23.8% |
| Meghan Colwell | 9.1% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 15.5% | 14.5% | 9.6% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 7.9% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 18.1% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 11.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.