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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
28
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.93+4.10vs Predicted
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2California State University Monterey Bay0.14+15.49vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.63+3.06vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.74-1.00vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.33+1.98vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+0.49vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine1.06+5.67vs Predicted
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8Santa Clara University0.59+6.91vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+1.04vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley1.53+0.57vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley1.62-0.98vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California1.44-0.86vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley1.02-0.03vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.11+4.59vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+3.32vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara1.46-5.14vs Predicted
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17California State University Monterey Bay0.14+0.49vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38-1.90vs Predicted
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19California State University Monterey Bay0.14-1.51vs Predicted
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20University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-2.12vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles1.43-10.00vs Predicted
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22University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-0.95vs Predicted
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23University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-5.98vs Predicted
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24University of California at Santa Barbara1.07-11.24vs Predicted
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25University of California at Los Angeles-0.94-3.20vs Predicted
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26University of California at Davis-0.43-6.35vs Predicted
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27California State University Channel Islands0.15-9.58vs Predicted
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28University of California at Los Angeles-0.66-6.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.1University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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17.49California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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6.06Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
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3.0Stanford University3.740.3%1st Place
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6.98University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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6.49University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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12.67University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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14.91Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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10.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
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10.57University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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10.02University of California at Berkeley1.620.0%1st Place
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11.14University of Southern California1.440.0%1st Place
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12.97University of California at Berkeley1.020.0%1st Place
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18.59University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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18.32Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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10.86University of California at Santa Barbara1.460.0%1st Place
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17.49California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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16.1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
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17.49California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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17.88University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
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11.0University of California at Los Angeles1.430.0%1st Place
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21.05University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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17.02University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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12.76University of California at Santa Barbara1.070.0%1st Place
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21.8University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
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19.65University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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17.42California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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21.11University of California at Los Angeles-0.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Hecht | 12.0% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will La Dow | 29.8% | 21.7% | 16.4% | 11.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 6.8% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Gasparich | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Fargo | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Hopper | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Rinker | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Remy Margerum | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Kunz | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Roudebush | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 15.5% | 20.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Leddy | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 11.3% | 17.6% | 24.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alana McSween | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cullen Quine | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 19.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.