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📊 Prediction Accuracy
32.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
28
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.74+2.06vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.63+4.14vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.62+7.29vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.33+3.04vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.93-0.05vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+0.51vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+11.18vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay0.14+9.08vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley1.53+1.41vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara1.46+0.89vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38+5.00vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California1.44-0.89vs Predicted
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13Santa Clara University0.59+2.14vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine1.06-1.15vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles1.43-3.94vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-0.66+4.87vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-6.78vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara1.07-5.21vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-1.12vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-0.11-1.83vs Predicted
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21California State University Channel Islands0.15-3.54vs Predicted
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22University of California at Los Angeles-0.94-0.33vs Predicted
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23University of California at Berkeley1.02-10.04vs Predicted
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24University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-7.42vs Predicted
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25California State University Monterey Bay0.14-7.92vs Predicted
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26California State University Monterey Bay0.14-8.92vs Predicted
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27University of California at Davis-0.43-6.95vs Predicted
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28University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-6.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06Stanford University3.740.3%1st Place
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6.14Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
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10.29University of California at Berkeley1.620.0%1st Place
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7.04University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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4.95University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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6.51University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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18.18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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17.08California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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10.41University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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10.89University of California at Santa Barbara1.460.0%1st Place
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16.0Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
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11.11University of Southern California1.440.0%1st Place
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15.14Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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12.85University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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11.06University of California at Los Angeles1.430.0%1st Place
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20.87University of California at Los Angeles-0.660.0%1st Place
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10.22Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
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12.79University of California at Santa Barbara1.070.0%1st Place
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17.88University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
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18.17University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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17.46California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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21.67University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
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12.96University of California at Berkeley1.020.0%1st Place
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16.58University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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17.08California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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17.08California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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20.05University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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21.67University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will La Dow | 28.6% | 21.1% | 16.0% | 13.0% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 8.8% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 4.0% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 14.2% | 15.1% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Rinker | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Remy Margerum | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Kunz | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Gasparich | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Roudebush | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cullen Quine | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 17.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Leddy | 2.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Hopper | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 4.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 0.3% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 14.9% | 26.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Fargo | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alana McSween | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 15.9% | 23.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.