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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Monterey Bay0.14+15.05vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.93+2.81vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.62+6.56vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.74-1.08vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.44+5.06vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+0.14vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine1.06+4.87vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay0.14+8.05vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California2.33-2.31vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley1.53-0.44vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.11+6.04vs Predicted
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12Santa Clara University0.59+2.15vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara1.46-2.93vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley1.02-1.70vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara1.07-3.27vs Predicted
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16California State University Monterey Bay0.14+0.05vs Predicted
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17Stanford University2.63-11.23vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38-3.01vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-2.56vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles1.43-9.69vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-1.67vs Predicted
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22University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-6.69vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles-0.94-2.77vs Predicted
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24California State University Channel Islands0.15-8.06vs Predicted
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25University of California at Los Angeles-1.09-4.67vs Predicted
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26University of California at Davis-0.43-7.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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16.05California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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4.81University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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9.56University of California at Berkeley1.620.0%1st Place
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2.92Stanford University3.740.3%1st Place
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10.06University of Southern California1.440.0%1st Place
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6.14University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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11.87University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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16.05California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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6.69University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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9.56University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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17.04University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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14.15Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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10.07University of California at Santa Barbara1.460.0%1st Place
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12.3University of California at Berkeley1.020.0%1st Place
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11.73University of California at Santa Barbara1.070.0%1st Place
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16.05California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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5.77Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
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14.99Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
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16.44University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
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10.31University of California at Los Angeles1.430.0%1st Place
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19.33University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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15.31University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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20.23University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
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15.94California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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20.33University of California at Los Angeles-1.090.0%1st Place
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18.4University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alicia Ward | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 12.2% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will La Dow | 29.9% | 21.6% | 17.9% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Gasparich | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 8.1% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 2.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Hopper | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Remy Margerum | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Fargo | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Leddy | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 10.8% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Kunz | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Roudebush | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 19.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 16.8% | 24.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Kelly | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 18.9% | 28.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alana McSween | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.