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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.74+1.86vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.46+8.19vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.93+1.78vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.33+2.80vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.53+4.77vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.63-0.25vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-0.87vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine1.06+3.97vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California1.44+0.95vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay0.14+5.92vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley1.02+1.22vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara1.07-0.20vs Predicted
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13Santa Clara University0.59+1.26vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley1.62-4.64vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-0.11+2.21vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles1.43-5.75vs Predicted
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17California State University Monterey Bay0.14-1.08vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-1.67vs Predicted
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19California State University Monterey Bay0.14-3.08vs Predicted
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20University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-4.45vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38-6.37vs Predicted
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22University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-2.57vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles-0.94-2.78vs Predicted
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24University of California at Davis-0.43-5.72vs Predicted
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25University of California at Los Angeles-1.09-4.63vs Predicted
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26California State University Channel Islands0.15-10.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.86Stanford University3.740.3%1st Place
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10.19University of California at Santa Barbara1.460.0%1st Place
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4.78University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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6.8University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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9.77University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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5.75Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
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6.13University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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11.97University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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9.95University of Southern California1.440.0%1st Place
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15.92California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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12.22University of California at Berkeley1.020.0%1st Place
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11.8University of California at Santa Barbara1.070.0%1st Place
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14.26Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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9.36University of California at Berkeley1.620.0%1st Place
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17.21University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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10.25University of California at Los Angeles1.430.0%1st Place
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15.92California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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16.33University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
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15.92California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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15.55University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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14.63Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
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19.43University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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20.22University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
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18.28University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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20.37University of California at Los Angeles-1.090.0%1st Place
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15.98California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will La Dow | 31.9% | 22.3% | 15.1% | 12.6% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Remy Margerum | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 11.5% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 10.7% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Gasparich | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Fargo | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Leddy | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Hopper | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 3.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Roudebush | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Kunz | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 17.1% | 19.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 17.1% | 24.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alana McSween | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Kelly | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 16.9% | 30.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.