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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
28
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.74+2.08vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.93+3.21vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.46+8.02vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+2.48vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.33+1.99vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.63+0.06vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+3.09vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.62+1.91vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley1.53+1.41vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay0.14+7.29vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles1.43-0.12vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.11+6.75vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley1.020.00vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine1.06-1.21vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+3.31vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38+0.18vs Predicted
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17Santa Clara University0.59-1.86vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara1.07-5.28vs Predicted
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19University of Southern California1.44-8.06vs Predicted
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20University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-3.52vs Predicted
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21University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-3.00vs Predicted
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22University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-0.78vs Predicted
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23California State University Monterey Bay0.14-5.71vs Predicted
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24University of California at Los Angeles-0.94-2.20vs Predicted
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25University of California at Davis-0.43-5.35vs Predicted
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26University of California at Los Angeles-0.66-5.10vs Predicted
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27California State University Monterey Bay0.14-9.71vs Predicted
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28California State University Channel Islands0.15-10.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.08Stanford University3.740.3%1st Place
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5.21University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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11.02University of California at Santa Barbara1.460.0%1st Place
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6.48University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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6.99University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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6.06Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
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10.09Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
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9.91University of California at Berkeley1.620.0%1st Place
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10.41University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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17.29California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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10.88University of California at Los Angeles1.430.0%1st Place
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18.75University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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13.0University of California at Berkeley1.020.0%1st Place
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12.79University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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18.31Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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16.18Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
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15.14Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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12.72University of California at Santa Barbara1.070.0%1st Place
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10.94University of Southern California1.440.0%1st Place
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16.48University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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18.0University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
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21.22University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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17.29California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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21.8University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
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19.65University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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20.9University of California at Los Angeles-0.660.0%1st Place
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17.29California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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17.68California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will La Dow | 28.1% | 22.1% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 12.5% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Remy Margerum | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 7.5% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Roudebush | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Hopper | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 5.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Fargo | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 1.7% | 1.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Rinker | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Kunz | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Leddy | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Gasparich | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 23.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 16.9% | 24.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alana McSween | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cullen Quine | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 15.1% | 17.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.