← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Southern California2.93+3.74vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University3.74+0.96vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University2.63+2.65vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Barbara1.46+6.30vs Predicted
-
5University of Southern California2.33+1.52vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+0.14vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley1.53+2.87vs Predicted
-
8California State University Monterey Bay0.14+8.14vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Irvine1.06+2.58vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Berkeley1.02+2.08vs Predicted
-
11University of Southern California1.44-0.77vs Predicted
-
12Santa Clara University0.59+1.99vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Berkeley1.62-3.48vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Santa Cruz0.02+2.45vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Los Angeles-0.81+4.80vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-0.38vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Santa Barbara1.07-5.20vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Los Angeles1.43-7.69vs Predicted
-
19University of California at Davis-0.43-1.02vs Predicted
-
20California State University Monterey Bay0.14-3.86vs Predicted
-
21University of California at Los Angeles-0.94-1.17vs Predicted
-
22Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38-6.96vs Predicted
-
23University of California at Los Angeles-1.09-2.56vs Predicted
-
24California State University Channel Islands0.15-8.10vs Predicted
-
25University of California at San Diego-0.11-7.92vs Predicted
-
26California State University Monterey Bay0.14-9.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.74University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
-
2.96Stanford University3.740.3%1st Place
-
5.65Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
-
10.3University of California at Santa Barbara1.460.0%1st Place
-
6.52University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
-
6.14University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
-
9.87University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
-
16.14California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
-
11.58University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
-
12.08University of California at Berkeley1.020.0%1st Place
-
10.23University of Southern California1.440.0%1st Place
-
13.99Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
-
9.52University of California at Berkeley1.620.0%1st Place
-
16.45University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
-
19.8University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
-
15.62University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
-
11.8University of California at Santa Barbara1.070.0%1st Place
-
10.31University of California at Los Angeles1.430.0%1st Place
-
17.98University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
-
16.14California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
-
19.83University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
-
15.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
-
20.44University of California at Los Angeles-1.090.0%1st Place
-
15.9California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
-
17.08University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
-
16.14California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Hecht | 14.7% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will La Dow | 27.1% | 25.3% | 16.6% | 11.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Remy Margerum | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 7.6% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Fargo | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Gasparich | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 17.4% | 20.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Leddy | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Roudebush | 4.1% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alana McSween | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 17.8% | 23.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Kunz | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Kelly | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 12.3% | 17.9% | 29.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Hopper | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.