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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.10+7.26vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.55+2.43vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.99+3.86vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.14+4.43vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00+4.84vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.97+1.00vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.99+2.45vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.09-2.04vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.13+0.14vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.22-1.16vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-4.58vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.15-3.27vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College1.71-6.05vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.48-2.97vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College-0.13-1.41vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.15-3.50vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-1.22-1.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.26Harvard University2.105.5%1st Place
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4.43Yale University2.5517.5%1st Place
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6.86Brown University1.998.2%1st Place
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8.43Boston University1.145.5%1st Place
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9.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.003.2%1st Place
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7.0Roger Williams University1.977.2%1st Place
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9.45University of Rhode Island0.993.9%1st Place
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5.96Boston College2.0910.5%1st Place
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9.14Bowdoin College1.134.2%1st Place
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8.84Northeastern University1.224.8%1st Place
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6.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.779.0%1st Place
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8.73Tufts University1.156.0%1st Place
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6.95Dartmouth College1.717.6%1st Place
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11.03University of Vermont0.482.6%1st Place
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13.59Connecticut College-0.131.8%1st Place
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12.5Maine Maritime Academy0.151.7%1st Place
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15.57Middlebury College-1.220.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Emma Cowles | 17.5% | 16.2% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Laura Slovensky | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 1.2% |
| Lucy Meagher | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 10.5% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Rebecca Schill | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ella Hubbard | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| bella casaretto | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 3.2% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 14.0% | 28.3% | 19.6% |
| Jane Marvin | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 15.8% | 19.2% | 9.1% |
| Helen Coughlin | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 15.7% | 61.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.