Race 4A

troy-swetman

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Schuyler Hemmerdinger 7.0% 8.1% 9.1% 9.1% 10.5% 12.9% 15.5% 12.3% 10.2% 5.3%
Alfred Robbins 29.8% 21.5% 15.4% 13.8% 9.2% 5.1% 3.5% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Scott Proctor 15.0% 15.1% 15.9% 13.6% 14.3% 11.3% 8.5% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3%
Rebekka Urbina 8.2% 11.4% 11.5% 11.8% 13.0% 13.1% 11.9% 11.3% 5.9% 1.9%
Collin Weston 14.3% 13.8% 14.0% 16.0% 14.2% 10.3% 7.6% 6.7% 2.3% 0.8%
Benjamin Kennady 9.2% 8.8% 10.4% 10.3% 12.2% 13.1% 11.4% 13.6% 8.5% 2.5%
Nicholas Chong 2.3% 2.6% 4.7% 5.2% 5.6% 8.6% 14.3% 15.4% 23.0% 18.3%
Ryan Carden 1.6% 1.9% 3.5% 2.9% 5.0% 4.8% 8.9% 11.9% 21.0% 38.5%
Conrad Wineland 2.5% 2.3% 2.6% 4.0% 3.0% 7.7% 8.3% 14.7% 23.6% 31.3%
Laura Stamets 10.1% 14.5% 12.9% 13.3% 13.0% 13.1% 10.1% 7.9% 4.0% 1.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.