← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
29
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Southern California2.47+4.92vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University2.90+2.47vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+4.49vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Berkeley1.48+5.82vs Predicted
-
5University of Southern California1.18+6.42vs Predicted
-
6Stanford University3.01-2.03vs Predicted
-
7California State University Monterey Bay0.56+7.79vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Barbara0.83+5.47vs Predicted
-
9Santa Clara University1.42+1.24vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Los Angeles0.92+2.98vs Predicted
-
11University of California at San Diego0.31+5.13vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Berkeley0.92+0.81vs Predicted
-
13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.19+5.74vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Los Angeles0.00+3.57vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Santa Barbara1.69-6.30vs Predicted
-
16University of Southern California0.85-2.94vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Berkeley0.64-2.67vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Santa Cruz0.20-1.43vs Predicted
-
19University of California at Los Angeles0.61-4.52vs Predicted
-
20University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09-1.62vs Predicted
-
21Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-8.53vs Predicted
-
22University of California at San Diego0.43-7.15vs Predicted
-
23California State University Monterey Bay0.56-8.21vs Predicted
-
24University of California at Los Angeles-0.44-4.52vs Predicted
-
25University of California at Irvine0.08-7.61vs Predicted
-
26University of California at Davis-1.49-2.45vs Predicted
-
27Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.68-6.54vs Predicted
-
28California State University Monterey Bay0.56-13.21vs Predicted
-
29California State University Channel Islands-1.83-4.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.92University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
-
4.47Stanford University2.900.2%1st Place
-
7.49University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.1%1st Place
-
9.82University of California at Berkeley1.480.0%1st Place
-
11.42University of Southern California1.180.0%1st Place
-
3.97Stanford University3.010.2%1st Place
-
14.79California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
-
13.47University of California at Santa Barbara0.830.0%1st Place
-
10.24Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
-
12.98University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
-
16.13University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
-
12.81University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
-
18.74Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.190.0%1st Place
-
17.57University of California at Los Angeles0.000.0%1st Place
-
8.7University of California at Santa Barbara1.690.1%1st Place
-
13.06University of Southern California0.850.0%1st Place
-
14.33University of California at Berkeley0.640.0%1st Place
-
16.57University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.0%1st Place
-
14.48University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
-
18.38University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
-
12.47Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
-
14.85University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
-
14.79California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
-
19.48University of California at Los Angeles-0.440.0%1st Place
-
17.39University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
-
23.55University of California at Davis-1.490.0%1st Place
-
20.46Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.680.0%1st Place
-
14.79California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
-
24.45California State University Channel Islands-1.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Coakley | 11.9% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Lambert | 16.7% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 6.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Kiyotoki | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Russell Clarida | 19.2% | 16.8% | 16.4% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell McKinney | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Belle Lemoine | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Albert Wang | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finestone | 5.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hollis Barth | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Todosiev | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Gerber | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 9.1% | 4.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sierra Madden | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 22.9% | 31.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dallas Butler | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 9.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Ramirez | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 10.9% | 19.0% | 45.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.