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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.47+4.28vs Predicted
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2Santa Clara University1.42+7.62vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.01+0.96vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.18+6.82vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+1.98vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California0.85+6.37vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.48+2.54vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine0.08+8.20vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.64+4.19vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.92+2.20vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.20+4.56vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.90-7.67vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles0.92-0.97vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles0.61-0.49vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara1.69-6.87vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-0.44+2.20vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego0.31-1.96vs Predicted
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18California State University Monterey Bay0.56-4.19vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego0.39-4.97vs Predicted
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20University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09-2.96vs Predicted
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21California State University Monterey Bay0.56-7.19vs Predicted
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22University of California at Los Angeles0.00-5.17vs Predicted
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23University of California at Santa Barbara0.83-10.87vs Predicted
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24California State University Monterey Bay0.56-10.19vs Predicted
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25California State University Channel Islands-1.83-2.26vs Predicted
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26Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.68-6.75vs Predicted
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27University of California at Davis-1.64-4.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.28University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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9.62Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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3.96Stanford University3.010.2%1st Place
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10.82University of Southern California1.180.0%1st Place
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6.98University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.1%1st Place
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12.37University of Southern California0.850.0%1st Place
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9.54University of California at Berkeley1.480.0%1st Place
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16.2University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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13.19University of California at Berkeley0.640.0%1st Place
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12.2University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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15.56University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.0%1st Place
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4.33Stanford University2.900.2%1st Place
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12.03University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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13.51University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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8.13University of California at Santa Barbara1.690.0%1st Place
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18.2University of California at Los Angeles-0.440.0%1st Place
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15.04University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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13.81California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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14.03University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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17.04University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
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13.81California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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16.83University of California at Los Angeles0.000.0%1st Place
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12.13University of California at Santa Barbara0.830.0%1st Place
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13.81California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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22.74California State University Channel Islands-1.830.0%1st Place
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19.25Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.680.0%1st Place
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22.24University of California at Davis-1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Coakley | 14.1% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Russell Clarida | 20.3% | 16.7% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Kiyotoki | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hollis Barth | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Todosiev | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Lambert | 16.4% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finestone | 4.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Gerber | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 4.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Albert Wang | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell McKinney | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Ramirez | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 5.6% | 9.6% | 21.7% | 44.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dallas Butler | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 7.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Naro | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 11.2% | 23.8% | 35.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.