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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
29
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.01+3.25vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+5.38vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.69+6.24vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.47+1.61vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.61+9.43vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.90-1.73vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.18+4.44vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.19+10.89vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley1.48+0.93vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California0.85+3.42vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.20+5.74vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego0.31+4.05vs Predicted
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13Santa Clara University1.42-2.73vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara0.83-1.05vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley0.64-0.86vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-3.45vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley0.92-4.17vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles0.92-5.39vs Predicted
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19California State University Monterey Bay0.56-4.24vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles-0.44+0.03vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego0.39-5.57vs Predicted
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22California State University Monterey Bay0.56-7.24vs Predicted
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23University of California at Irvine0.08-6.29vs Predicted
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24University of California at Los Angeles0.00-6.70vs Predicted
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25University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09-6.75vs Predicted
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26California State University Monterey Bay0.56-11.24vs Predicted
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27Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.68-6.31vs Predicted
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28University of California at Davis-1.49-4.67vs Predicted
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29California State University Channel Islands-1.83-4.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.25Stanford University3.010.2%1st Place
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7.38University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.1%1st Place
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9.24University of California at Santa Barbara1.690.0%1st Place
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5.61University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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14.43University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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4.27Stanford University2.900.2%1st Place
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11.44University of Southern California1.180.0%1st Place
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18.89Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.190.0%1st Place
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9.93University of California at Berkeley1.480.0%1st Place
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13.42University of Southern California0.850.0%1st Place
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16.74University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.0%1st Place
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16.05University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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10.27Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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12.95University of California at Santa Barbara0.830.0%1st Place
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14.14University of California at Berkeley0.640.0%1st Place
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12.55Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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12.83University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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12.61University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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14.76California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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20.03University of California at Los Angeles-0.440.0%1st Place
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15.43University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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14.76California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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16.71University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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17.3University of California at Los Angeles0.000.0%1st Place
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18.25University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
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14.76California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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20.69Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.680.0%1st Place
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23.33University of California at Davis-1.490.0%1st Place
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24.48California State University Channel Islands-1.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russell Clarida | 18.8% | 15.1% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finestone | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 12.4% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Lambert | 16.2% | 18.4% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Kiyotoki | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Belle Lemoine | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 2.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hollis Barth | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell McKinney | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Todosiev | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Gerber | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 5.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Albert Wang | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dallas Butler | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 8.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sierra Madden | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 21.4% | 28.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Ramirez | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 9.6% | 17.4% | 47.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.