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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.47+4.31vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.01+1.91vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.69+5.53vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+2.95vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.48+4.49vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California0.85+6.37vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.90-2.79vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine0.08+8.26vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California1.18+1.52vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego0.31+5.07vs Predicted
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11Santa Clara University1.42-1.43vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles0.92+0.21vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz0.20+2.66vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley0.64-0.62vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego0.39-0.72vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley0.92-4.19vs Predicted
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17California State University Monterey Bay0.56-3.07vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles0.61-4.44vs Predicted
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19California State University Monterey Bay0.56-5.07vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles0.00-4.04vs Predicted
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21University of California at Santa Barbara0.83-8.43vs Predicted
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22University of California at Los Angeles-0.44-3.24vs Predicted
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23University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09-6.38vs Predicted
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24California State University Monterey Bay0.56-10.07vs Predicted
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25Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.68-5.64vs Predicted
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26University of California at Davis-1.49-4.00vs Predicted
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27California State University Channel Islands-1.83-4.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.31University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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3.91Stanford University3.010.2%1st Place
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8.53University of California at Santa Barbara1.690.1%1st Place
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6.95University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.1%1st Place
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9.49University of California at Berkeley1.480.0%1st Place
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12.37University of Southern California0.850.0%1st Place
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4.21Stanford University2.900.2%1st Place
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16.26University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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10.52University of Southern California1.180.0%1st Place
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15.07University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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9.57Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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12.21University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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15.66University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.0%1st Place
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13.38University of California at Berkeley0.640.0%1st Place
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14.28University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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11.81University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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13.93California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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13.56University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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13.93California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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15.96University of California at Los Angeles0.000.0%1st Place
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12.57University of California at Santa Barbara0.830.0%1st Place
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18.76University of California at Los Angeles-0.440.0%1st Place
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16.62University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
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13.93California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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19.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.680.0%1st Place
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22.0University of California at Davis-1.490.0%1st Place
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22.73California State University Channel Islands-1.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Coakley | 11.7% | 14.8% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Russell Clarida | 20.2% | 17.8% | 16.0% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finestone | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hollis Barth | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Lambert | 18.4% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Kiyotoki | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Todosiev | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Albert Wang | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell McKinney | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Gerber | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 5.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dallas Butler | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 12.1% | 17.4% | 12.9% | 8.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sierra Madden | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 24.4% | 31.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Ramirez | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 20.9% | 46.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.