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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.80+3.85vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.38+3.88vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.650.00vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.59-0.94vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.44+3.30vs Predicted
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6University of Florida2.20+0.32vs Predicted
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7Clemson University1.88+0.04vs Predicted
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8Florida State University2.08-1.48vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina1.25-0.31vs Predicted
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10Duke University1.19-1.21vs Predicted
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11University of Miami1.82-3.54vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology1.55-3.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.85Eckerd College2.800.1%1st Place
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5.88Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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3.0College of Charleston3.650.3%1st Place
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3.06University of South Florida3.590.2%1st Place
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8.3North Carolina State University1.440.0%1st Place
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6.32University of Florida2.200.1%1st Place
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7.04Clemson University1.880.0%1st Place
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6.52Florida State University2.080.1%1st Place
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8.69University of South Carolina1.250.0%1st Place
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8.79Duke University1.190.0%1st Place
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7.46University of Miami1.820.0%1st Place
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8.1Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason D'Agostino | 10.6% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Daniel Lawless | 6.3% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Jake Reynolds | 27.3% | 20.1% | 17.7% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Cornell | 24.6% | 24.5% | 15.9% | 13.5% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis Tucker | 2.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 17.9% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 6.2% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| John Roberts | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 6.9% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% |
| Mackey Leventis | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 17.4% | 19.9% |
| Vincent Miao | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 16.2% | 23.2% |
| Kyle Magno | 4.1% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 8.1% |
| Marten Kendrick | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 14.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.