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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Jason D'Agostino 11.3% 10.5% 13.7% 12.2% 13.5% 11.3% 8.7% 7.3% 5.6% 3.1% 2.1% 0.7%
Jake Reynolds 24.9% 24.3% 16.4% 13.7% 9.5% 5.7% 2.9% 1.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Sean Cornell 25.5% 21.8% 17.4% 12.3% 10.8% 6.9% 3.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1%
Travis Tucker 2.3% 3.6% 3.3% 4.4% 6.2% 6.9% 8.8% 9.5% 11.9% 12.1% 14.0% 17.0%
Jack Famiglietti 6.2% 6.7% 9.6% 9.5% 9.5% 9.8% 10.8% 11.2% 9.2% 8.3% 5.9% 3.3%
Curtis Woodworth 5.7% 5.8% 7.9% 7.5% 8.2% 10.1% 12.4% 11.4% 10.6% 9.7% 7.3% 3.4%
John Roberts 4.7% 5.4% 7.2% 7.3% 7.7% 9.5% 9.5% 11.8% 10.4% 10.8% 8.6% 7.1%
Marten Kendrick 3.5% 4.5% 4.4% 5.4% 5.8% 8.6% 7.5% 9.9% 11.0% 13.2% 13.9% 12.3%
Kyle Magno 4.1% 3.9% 5.3% 8.6% 8.8% 9.5% 12.2% 10.7% 9.4% 10.9% 10.6% 6.0%
Daniel Lawless 7.4% 8.3% 9.3% 11.1% 11.1% 11.3% 11.0% 10.2% 8.6% 6.2% 3.4% 2.1%
Vincent Miao 2.2% 2.1% 2.8% 3.9% 4.4% 5.7% 5.9% 7.5% 10.2% 12.7% 17.8% 24.8%
Mackey Leventis 2.2% 3.1% 2.7% 4.1% 4.5% 4.7% 7.2% 7.8% 11.6% 12.5% 16.4% 23.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.