Race 3A

saisa-coed-champs

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Jake Reynolds 25.6% 22.2% 19.0% 13.9% 8.7% 4.4% 3.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Sean Cornell 25.3% 22.7% 14.8% 13.9% 9.9% 8.0% 2.2% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Famiglietti 7.3% 5.4% 8.1% 9.6% 8.9% 11.7% 10.6% 11.4% 10.1% 8.5% 5.3% 3.1%
Jason D'Agostino 9.6% 14.0% 12.5% 13.8% 12.0% 12.1% 9.7% 6.8% 5.3% 1.9% 1.9% 0.4%
Travis Tucker 2.1% 3.8% 4.4% 4.9% 6.4% 7.2% 7.3% 7.9% 11.3% 12.7% 14.2% 17.8%
John Roberts 4.6% 5.2% 6.7% 5.6% 8.9% 8.1% 10.9% 10.3% 11.0% 11.5% 11.2% 6.0%
Kyle Magno 5.1% 4.5% 6.5% 7.3% 7.8% 9.2% 9.3% 12.6% 10.0% 10.3% 10.3% 7.1%
Mackey Leventis 2.4% 2.7% 4.1% 4.3% 5.2% 6.3% 6.5% 9.2% 9.0% 12.5% 14.6% 23.2%
Marten Kendrick 2.9% 3.5% 3.1% 6.1% 7.7% 7.6% 10.4% 8.6% 12.4% 11.9% 13.5% 12.3%
Curtis Woodworth 6.3% 5.2% 7.6% 8.3% 10.4% 9.2% 11.4% 11.1% 10.4% 9.0% 7.2% 3.9%
Daniel Lawless 6.9% 7.3% 10.3% 9.4% 10.6% 11.1% 10.4% 10.9% 9.3% 6.7% 4.8% 2.3%
Vincent Miao 1.9% 3.5% 2.9% 2.9% 3.5% 5.1% 7.8% 7.4% 9.8% 14.4% 16.9% 23.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.