Race 5A

troy-swetman

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Alfred Robbins 30.1% 23.0% 16.0% 11.3% 9.0% 5.1% 3.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Scott Proctor 14.7% 17.3% 15.5% 15.0% 11.0% 10.8% 7.6% 6.6% 1.1% 0.4%
Laura Stamets 11.5% 10.9% 13.2% 12.6% 14.8% 13.3% 11.3% 7.6% 4.2% 0.6%
Collin Weston 12.9% 13.9% 14.3% 16.9% 13.1% 10.7% 9.1% 6.0% 2.5% 0.6%
Rebekka Urbina 10.2% 9.0% 11.5% 12.9% 11.9% 13.9% 13.7% 8.7% 6.0% 2.2%
Benjamin Kennady 8.6% 9.3% 9.8% 9.7% 13.5% 11.8% 12.5% 13.1% 8.8% 2.9%
Schuyler Hemmerdinger 5.6% 7.4% 9.5% 9.7% 12.1% 12.5% 14.3% 12.9% 11.0% 5.0%
Ryan Carden 1.8% 2.1% 3.2% 3.4% 3.2% 6.3% 9.0% 12.5% 21.3% 37.2%
Nicholas Chong 2.7% 4.4% 4.0% 4.3% 6.7% 8.6% 11.0% 18.0% 22.3% 18.0%
Conrad Wineland 1.9% 2.7% 3.0% 4.2% 4.7% 7.0% 8.0% 13.0% 22.4% 33.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.