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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.97+5.99vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.10+6.28vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.71+3.92vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.99+2.91vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.14+3.24vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00+3.57vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.99+2.39vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.22+0.68vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.13+0.15vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.55-5.49vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.48+0.31vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.09-6.06vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-6.59vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College-0.29-0.33vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.15-2.65vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-1.22-0.36vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.15-7.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.99Roger Williams University1.977.8%1st Place
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8.28Harvard University2.105.8%1st Place
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6.92Dartmouth College1.717.3%1st Place
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6.91Brown University1.997.9%1st Place
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8.24Boston University1.144.7%1st Place
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9.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.004.5%1st Place
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9.39University of Rhode Island0.994.2%1st Place
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8.68Northeastern University1.225.8%1st Place
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9.15Bowdoin College1.133.9%1st Place
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4.51Yale University2.5517.8%1st Place
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11.31University of Vermont0.482.8%1st Place
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5.94Boston College2.0911.3%1st Place
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6.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.778.9%1st Place
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13.67Connecticut College-0.291.1%1st Place
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12.35Maine Maritime Academy0.151.8%1st Place
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15.64Middlebury College-1.220.4%1st Place
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9.04Tufts University1.154.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Meagher | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| bella casaretto | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Katharine Doble | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Laura Slovensky | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Rebecca Schill | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Emma Cowles | 17.8% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 11.0% | 4.8% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 11.3% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Natalie Fear | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 13.3% | 28.5% | 17.9% |
| Jane Marvin | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 15.6% | 19.1% | 8.9% |
| Helen Coughlin | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 15.6% | 61.7% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.