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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.65+2.02vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.59+1.07vs Predicted
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3Clemson University1.88+4.08vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.80+0.75vs Predicted
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5University of Florida2.20+1.23vs Predicted
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6Florida State University2.08+0.54vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology1.55+0.79vs Predicted
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8University of Miami1.82-0.90vs Predicted
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9Duke University0.72+0.73vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.44-1.87vs Predicted
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11University of South Carolina1.25-2.21vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University2.38-6.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.02College of Charleston3.650.2%1st Place
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3.07University of South Florida3.590.3%1st Place
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7.08Clemson University1.880.1%1st Place
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4.75Eckerd College2.800.1%1st Place
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6.23University of Florida2.200.1%1st Place
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6.54Florida State University2.080.1%1st Place
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7.79Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.0%1st Place
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7.1University of Miami1.820.1%1st Place
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9.73Duke University0.720.0%1st Place
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8.13North Carolina State University1.440.0%1st Place
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8.79University of South Carolina1.250.0%1st Place
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5.76Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Reynolds | 24.7% | 22.4% | 20.3% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Cornell | 25.9% | 20.8% | 17.6% | 13.8% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Roberts | 5.3% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 5.2% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 9.3% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 2.8% |
| Marten Kendrick | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 10.9% |
| Kyle Magno | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 9.2% | 6.0% |
| Alexander Katsis | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 19.0% | 37.2% |
| Travis Tucker | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 12.7% |
| Mackey Leventis | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 18.4% | 20.3% |
| Daniel Lawless | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.