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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.38+4.83vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.82+5.18vs Predicted
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3Florida State University2.08+3.52vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.59-0.92vs Predicted
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5University of Florida2.20+1.26vs Predicted
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6Duke University0.72+3.75vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.65-4.01vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.80-3.32vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.44-0.94vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina1.25-1.44vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology1.55-2.99vs Predicted
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12Clemson University1.88-4.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.83Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.18University of Miami1.820.0%1st Place
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6.52Florida State University2.080.1%1st Place
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3.08University of South Florida3.590.2%1st Place
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6.26University of Florida2.200.1%1st Place
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9.75Duke University0.720.0%1st Place
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2.99College of Charleston3.650.3%1st Place
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4.68Eckerd College2.800.1%1st Place
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8.06North Carolina State University1.440.0%1st Place
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8.56University of South Carolina1.250.0%1st Place
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8.01Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.0%1st Place
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7.09Clemson University1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Lawless | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Kyle Magno | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 5.7% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
| Sean Cornell | 23.9% | 22.7% | 19.9% | 12.6% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Alexander Katsis | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 17.1% | 39.5% |
| Jake Reynolds | 26.2% | 23.8% | 17.8% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 13.0% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Travis Tucker | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 10.9% |
| Mackey Leventis | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 18.0% | 17.9% |
| Marten Kendrick | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 12.0% |
| John Roberts | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.