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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.65+1.96vs Predicted
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2University of Florida2.20+4.25vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.38+2.79vs Predicted
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4University of Miami1.82+3.22vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.59-1.89vs Predicted
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6Florida State University2.08+0.54vs Predicted
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7Clemson University1.88-0.03vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.44+0.08vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology1.55-1.17vs Predicted
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10Duke University0.72-0.27vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.80-6.19vs Predicted
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12University of South Carolina1.25-3.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.96College of Charleston3.650.3%1st Place
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6.25University of Florida2.200.1%1st Place
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5.79Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.22University of Miami1.820.0%1st Place
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3.11University of South Florida3.590.3%1st Place
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6.54Florida State University2.080.1%1st Place
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6.97Clemson University1.880.1%1st Place
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8.08North Carolina State University1.440.0%1st Place
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7.83Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.0%1st Place
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9.73Duke University0.720.0%1st Place
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4.81Eckerd College2.800.1%1st Place
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8.7University of South Carolina1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Reynolds | 26.7% | 21.8% | 18.8% | 13.9% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 5.4% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Daniel Lawless | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Kyle Magno | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 6.5% |
| Sean Cornell | 25.2% | 23.5% | 15.5% | 13.6% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 3.7% |
| John Roberts | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 5.2% |
| Travis Tucker | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 13.1% |
| Marten Kendrick | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 8.8% |
| Alexander Katsis | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 17.8% | 39.0% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 10.8% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Mackey Leventis | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 17.6% | 19.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.