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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Jack Famiglietti 6.3% 6.5% 7.4% 9.8% 10.3% 11.9% 10.9% 10.4% 9.3% 8.3% 5.9% 3.0%
Sean Cornell 24.1% 22.8% 19.0% 13.2% 7.9% 6.8% 3.4% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Jason D'Agostino 11.7% 10.9% 14.5% 11.7% 12.6% 13.4% 9.5% 7.1% 4.1% 2.9% 1.3% 0.3%
Curtis Woodworth 4.4% 6.5% 6.3% 11.1% 11.1% 9.4% 12.1% 10.4% 9.3% 8.1% 7.7% 3.6%
Jake Reynolds 27.7% 21.8% 16.7% 12.3% 9.4% 5.2% 3.2% 2.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Kyle Magno 3.9% 5.5% 6.3% 5.5% 7.6% 9.6% 11.1% 9.8% 12.2% 12.6% 9.6% 6.3%
Daniel Lawless 8.1% 8.6% 10.5% 11.7% 11.7% 9.9% 10.1% 10.0% 8.6% 6.1% 3.6% 1.1%
Marten Kendrick 3.9% 4.2% 5.0% 5.3% 7.8% 6.8% 9.4% 9.2% 10.5% 12.9% 14.7% 10.3%
Travis Tucker 2.4% 3.2% 4.1% 5.3% 6.3% 7.1% 8.2% 12.4% 11.8% 13.0% 15.7% 10.5%
Alexander Katsis 1.1% 1.6% 2.9% 2.9% 2.8% 3.8% 4.3% 6.5% 8.7% 8.8% 17.4% 39.2%
John Roberts 4.4% 4.4% 4.8% 8.3% 8.3% 9.8% 10.0% 10.3% 12.3% 13.0% 7.4% 7.0%
Mackey Leventis 2.0% 4.0% 2.5% 2.9% 4.2% 6.3% 7.8% 9.6% 11.4% 13.9% 16.7% 18.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.