Race 10A

saisa-coed-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Jake Reynolds 24.7% 22.6% 19.6% 12.5% 8.5% 6.1% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Daniel Lawless 6.4% 7.8% 11.0% 11.5% 11.4% 12.4% 10.1% 10.0% 8.7% 5.6% 4.1% 1.0%
Travis Tucker 3.3% 4.2% 2.9% 5.0% 6.7% 6.4% 7.8% 9.3% 12.2% 13.9% 14.9% 13.4%
Curtis Woodworth 4.5% 6.8% 6.6% 9.6% 10.4% 10.7% 13.2% 10.1% 10.0% 8.6% 6.4% 3.1%
Sean Cornell 25.1% 21.5% 17.9% 14.3% 8.3% 5.4% 3.5% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
Mackey Leventis 2.7% 2.3% 3.5% 4.2% 6.4% 5.0% 5.5% 8.9% 10.2% 15.3% 17.2% 18.8%
Jack Famiglietti 6.7% 7.6% 8.9% 9.4% 10.6% 11.0% 10.7% 10.2% 10.1% 5.8% 6.2% 2.8%
Jason D'Agostino 12.7% 13.0% 12.3% 12.2% 12.6% 12.0% 10.1% 6.2% 4.5% 2.2% 1.3% 0.9%
Alexander Katsis 1.7% 1.1% 1.1% 2.4% 2.9% 4.2% 5.0% 6.8% 8.3% 11.1% 18.8% 36.6%
John Roberts 4.6% 4.9% 7.4% 6.6% 9.0% 9.6% 10.4% 11.9% 11.5% 9.7% 9.7% 4.7%
Kyle Magno 4.5% 3.8% 5.6% 7.2% 7.8% 8.2% 11.2% 10.9% 10.9% 14.0% 9.0% 6.9%
Marten Kendrick 3.1% 4.4% 3.2% 5.1% 5.4% 9.0% 9.0% 11.5% 12.1% 13.2% 12.3% 11.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.