Race 1B

saisa-coed-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Charles Rees 39.5% 27.9% 15.2% 9.2% 4.9% 2.1% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Baird 14.0% 17.7% 17.3% 16.7% 12.4% 8.8% 6.8% 3.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Stephan VerHulst 6.4% 5.1% 8.3% 10.6% 11.0% 11.8% 11.8% 11.6% 10.6% 7.3% 4.8% 0.7%
Timothy Siemers 11.5% 14.9% 15.3% 14.2% 15.8% 10.6% 7.2% 5.1% 3.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1%
Samuel Armington 8.4% 10.0% 13.7% 13.6% 13.3% 13.4% 10.4% 6.5% 5.6% 3.0% 1.8% 0.3%
Elizabeth O'Connor 2.7% 3.4% 4.4% 6.0% 8.2% 7.5% 10.1% 11.6% 12.4% 14.5% 12.2% 7.0%
Rafael Melendez 1.3% 1.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 4.1% 6.6% 8.1% 10.8% 12.3% 16.9% 27.9%
Max Thompson 7.7% 8.5% 9.8% 10.8% 11.6% 13.0% 12.3% 11.7% 6.2% 4.3% 2.9% 1.2%
Darby Reddaway 1.5% 2.3% 1.6% 3.9% 4.3% 6.8% 7.4% 8.3% 13.8% 14.6% 17.3% 18.2%
Margaux Bacro-Duverger 3.3% 3.5% 5.7% 5.7% 6.7% 10.2% 9.6% 13.6% 13.7% 11.5% 9.8% 6.7%
Mark Thompson 2.1% 2.0% 2.7% 2.7% 5.2% 5.8% 9.1% 11.3% 9.9% 16.2% 15.4% 17.6%
Abbie Probst 1.6% 3.0% 2.7% 3.3% 2.9% 5.9% 8.0% 8.3% 11.8% 14.1% 18.1% 20.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.