Race 2B

saisa-coed-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Charles Rees 39.6% 26.2% 16.8% 8.5% 5.7% 1.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Timothy Siemers 11.2% 14.5% 15.3% 16.1% 14.8% 10.5% 8.1% 5.2% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Stephan VerHulst 6.5% 5.7% 7.3% 11.1% 10.3% 11.1% 13.3% 12.9% 9.8% 6.4% 4.7% 0.9%
Samuel Armington 7.7% 11.8% 12.5% 13.4% 14.3% 13.0% 10.2% 7.0% 6.1% 2.5% 1.4% 0.1%
Andrew Baird 15.7% 16.7% 17.4% 15.1% 12.2% 10.4% 5.4% 3.4% 2.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Max Thompson 6.2% 8.2% 10.6% 10.7% 11.6% 13.1% 12.3% 9.8% 8.5% 5.8% 2.5% 0.7%
Abbie Probst 2.2% 2.2% 3.3% 3.9% 5.4% 5.6% 7.9% 9.4% 11.1% 13.4% 16.5% 19.1%
Elizabeth O'Connor 2.4% 4.9% 4.1% 6.6% 7.1% 8.3% 9.5% 11.0% 13.7% 14.0% 10.8% 7.6%
Rafael Melendez 1.4% 1.5% 1.3% 3.0% 2.9% 4.7% 7.0% 8.6% 10.0% 14.6% 20.5% 24.5%
Margaux Bacro-Duverger 3.4% 3.9% 5.8% 5.5% 6.9% 9.3% 9.8% 13.9% 12.4% 11.9% 10.8% 6.4%
Mark Thompson 2.3% 2.0% 2.2% 3.5% 5.0% 6.7% 7.9% 10.0% 11.3% 16.0% 14.4% 18.7%
Darby Reddaway 1.4% 2.4% 3.4% 2.6% 3.8% 5.5% 7.8% 8.3% 12.1% 13.0% 17.7% 22.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.