Race 3B

saisa-coed-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Charles Rees 37.6% 27.3% 16.4% 9.9% 4.6% 2.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stephan VerHulst 4.2% 6.8% 8.2% 9.4% 10.3% 11.2% 11.3% 12.9% 10.6% 8.4% 5.0% 1.7%
Andrew Baird 16.3% 15.4% 16.7% 13.4% 14.9% 9.3% 7.1% 4.4% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
Timothy Siemers 11.7% 13.5% 16.1% 15.7% 12.9% 10.2% 8.5% 5.4% 3.8% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2%
Mark Thompson 1.4% 2.5% 2.9% 4.6% 4.6% 7.1% 7.3% 7.9% 11.4% 12.0% 18.5% 19.8%
Max Thompson 6.8% 7.7% 9.4% 10.4% 11.1% 11.8% 12.6% 11.2% 8.6% 6.0% 3.5% 0.9%
Margaux Bacro-Duverger 3.7% 3.9% 4.9% 6.3% 6.4% 10.0% 9.4% 10.6% 12.0% 12.2% 12.6% 8.0%
Samuel Armington 9.9% 11.5% 10.8% 12.3% 12.3% 12.1% 10.4% 9.4% 5.9% 2.6% 2.0% 0.8%
Abbie Probst 1.6% 1.7% 2.3% 2.9% 4.5% 4.7% 8.5% 8.2% 10.9% 15.0% 18.3% 21.4%
Elizabeth O'Connor 2.4% 4.2% 4.3% 4.6% 7.1% 7.8% 8.7% 11.2% 13.4% 15.3% 12.0% 9.0%
Conner Killham 3.2% 4.0% 5.7% 7.4% 8.9% 9.6% 11.0% 11.6% 11.4% 12.5% 9.0% 5.7%
Rafael Melendez 1.2% 1.5% 2.3% 3.1% 2.4% 3.4% 4.5% 6.9% 10.0% 13.9% 18.4% 32.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.