Race 4B

saisa-coed-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Andrew Baird 13.9% 16.1% 16.0% 16.1% 13.7% 10.3% 6.0% 4.2% 2.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Max Thompson 5.1% 8.1% 9.7% 12.1% 9.5% 11.6% 12.1% 12.7% 9.4% 4.7% 3.6% 1.4%
Timothy Siemers 12.5% 14.3% 13.8% 14.1% 12.7% 11.2% 10.3% 6.5% 2.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
Charles Rees 39.3% 27.1% 15.3% 9.0% 5.0% 2.4% 1.2% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conner Killham 3.8% 4.1% 6.1% 7.0% 9.2% 9.8% 10.1% 13.3% 11.0% 11.3% 9.8% 4.5%
Abbie Probst 2.1% 1.4% 2.1% 4.3% 3.8% 4.8% 6.9% 6.9% 10.4% 14.6% 18.5% 24.2%
Margaux Bacro-Duverger 3.2% 3.7% 4.9% 6.2% 8.1% 9.5% 8.6% 9.6% 14.4% 12.9% 10.6% 8.3%
Elizabeth O'Connor 3.3% 4.1% 5.1% 4.0% 8.0% 6.4% 8.8% 10.5% 13.5% 15.8% 11.6% 8.9%
Samuel Armington 7.5% 11.4% 14.5% 13.0% 11.9% 12.8% 12.1% 7.5% 5.4% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1%
Stephan VerHulst 6.0% 6.2% 7.9% 8.7% 10.1% 12.7% 11.9% 11.9% 10.0% 7.9% 4.9% 1.8%
Mark Thompson 2.3% 1.6% 2.5% 3.2% 4.8% 5.6% 7.5% 8.6% 10.9% 15.2% 19.3% 18.5%
Rafael Melendez 1.0% 1.9% 2.1% 2.3% 3.2% 2.9% 4.5% 7.6% 9.6% 12.5% 20.2% 32.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.