Race 5B

saisa-coed-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Charles Rees 39.9% 26.6% 17.8% 8.2% 3.9% 2.1% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stephan VerHulst 4.7% 6.5% 9.5% 8.6% 10.0% 11.2% 12.8% 11.0% 10.0% 8.7% 5.2% 1.8%
Karl Rasmus Sayre 14.1% 13.7% 14.7% 13.5% 14.0% 12.3% 8.9% 5.2% 2.1% 0.8% 0.6% 0.1%
Michael Trebilcock 9.8% 13.6% 13.5% 15.0% 14.1% 10.4% 7.9% 7.6% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.3%
Margaux Bacro-Duverger 2.5% 4.5% 4.9% 5.8% 6.8% 9.4% 9.0% 9.4% 12.1% 13.4% 13.5% 8.7%
Samuel Armington 9.7% 10.8% 11.5% 13.3% 12.9% 12.2% 11.1% 7.3% 5.0% 4.2% 1.7% 0.3%
Rafael Melendez 1.5% 2.2% 2.8% 2.8% 3.5% 3.2% 6.5% 8.0% 8.7% 11.4% 18.3% 31.1%
Max Thompson 7.8% 8.1% 9.7% 11.1% 12.8% 10.2% 10.1% 11.3% 8.8% 4.8% 3.9% 1.4%
Conner Killham 3.5% 4.7% 6.1% 9.1% 8.8% 11.0% 11.1% 11.4% 12.0% 10.9% 7.6% 3.8%
Elizabeth O'Connor 2.9% 4.1% 4.5% 6.0% 5.7% 8.7% 7.9% 11.4% 13.0% 13.9% 12.2% 9.7%
Mark Thompson 1.9% 2.4% 2.1% 3.7% 4.2% 6.0% 7.2% 7.8% 12.6% 14.3% 19.0% 18.8%
Abbie Probst 1.7% 2.8% 2.9% 2.9% 3.3% 3.3% 7.0% 9.1% 10.2% 15.5% 17.3% 24.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.