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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.89+1.21vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina1.32+5.73vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.54+1.67vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.72+0.23vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.88+1.29vs Predicted
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6University of Florida2.38-0.94vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology1.58-0.09vs Predicted
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8Duke University1.25-0.21vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.740.00vs Predicted
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10Florida State University0.50-0.54vs Predicted
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11University of Miami2.08-5.15vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University0.89-3.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21College of Charleston3.890.4%1st Place
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7.73University of South Carolina1.320.0%1st Place
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4.67University of South Florida2.540.1%1st Place
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4.23Eckerd College2.720.1%1st Place
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6.29Jacksonville University1.880.1%1st Place
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5.06University of Florida2.380.1%1st Place
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6.91Georgia Institute of Technology1.580.0%1st Place
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7.79Duke University1.250.0%1st Place
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9.0Clemson University0.740.0%1st Place
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9.46Florida State University0.500.0%1st Place
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5.85University of Miami2.080.1%1st Place
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8.8North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Rees | 41.7% | 25.3% | 17.1% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margaux Bacro-Duverger | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 11.2% | 8.0% |
| Michael Trebilcock | 11.0% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 11.3% | 17.5% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% |
| Samuel Armington | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Conner Killham | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 4.8% |
| Elizabeth O'Connor | 2.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 10.2% |
| Abbie Probst | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 19.4% | 20.5% |
| Rafael Melendez | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 18.8% | 31.9% |
| Max Thompson | 6.7% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Mark Thompson | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 18.2% | 19.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.