Race 7B

saisa-coed-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Charles Rees 40.0% 27.5% 17.2% 9.0% 2.8% 2.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Trebilcock 10.7% 13.9% 13.9% 13.2% 14.6% 12.4% 7.8% 6.7% 4.0% 2.4% 0.3% 0.1%
Rafael Melendez 2.1% 1.6% 2.1% 2.9% 3.8% 5.0% 4.8% 7.9% 9.0% 11.9% 20.4% 28.5%
Stephan VerHulst 4.3% 7.2% 9.4% 10.0% 12.2% 11.8% 11.7% 10.2% 9.1% 7.1% 5.3% 1.7%
Samuel Armington 9.6% 9.8% 14.7% 13.7% 12.8% 11.9% 9.9% 6.9% 5.4% 3.6% 1.4% 0.3%
Karl Rasmus Sayre 13.1% 15.8% 14.7% 16.0% 13.2% 10.8% 7.8% 4.2% 2.7% 1.5% 0.1% 0.1%
Elizabeth O'Connor 4.0% 3.7% 4.6% 7.5% 7.5% 7.7% 9.1% 13.0% 13.1% 11.8% 10.7% 7.3%
Margaux Bacro-Duverger 2.4% 5.7% 6.1% 6.4% 5.6% 9.4% 11.2% 11.6% 13.2% 11.8% 10.1% 6.5%
Darby Reddaway 1.8% 2.0% 2.0% 2.6% 4.6% 6.5% 8.4% 9.9% 12.0% 15.4% 17.1% 17.7%
Max Thompson 7.8% 8.6% 9.0% 11.7% 13.1% 11.7% 13.6% 9.4% 6.9% 4.7% 2.5% 1.0%
Mark Thompson 2.3% 1.6% 3.0% 4.4% 5.8% 5.9% 7.1% 10.1% 12.7% 15.1% 15.7% 16.3%
Abbie Probst 1.9% 2.6% 3.3% 2.6% 4.0% 4.9% 7.7% 9.6% 11.8% 14.7% 16.4% 20.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.