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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.89+1.18vs Predicted
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2University of Florida2.38+2.93vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.72+1.14vs Predicted
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4Florida State University0.50+5.38vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.74+3.79vs Predicted
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6Duke University1.25+1.69vs Predicted
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7University of Miami2.08-1.49vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina1.32-0.62vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.54-4.62vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University0.89-1.57vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University1.88-4.77vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology0.72-3.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.18College of Charleston3.890.4%1st Place
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4.93University of Florida2.380.1%1st Place
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4.14Eckerd College2.720.1%1st Place
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9.38Florida State University0.500.0%1st Place
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8.79Clemson University0.740.0%1st Place
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7.69Duke University1.250.0%1st Place
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5.51University of Miami2.080.1%1st Place
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7.38University of South Carolina1.320.0%1st Place
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4.38University of South Florida2.540.1%1st Place
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8.43North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
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6.23Jacksonville University1.880.1%1st Place
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8.97Georgia Institute of Technology0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Rees | 42.1% | 25.2% | 16.7% | 9.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Armington | 8.2% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 14.5% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 17.7% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Rafael Melendez | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 19.5% | 27.6% |
| Abbie Probst | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 16.7% | 20.0% |
| Elizabeth O'Connor | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 10.9% | 7.3% |
| Max Thompson | 7.3% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Margaux Bacro-Duverger | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 6.5% |
| Michael Trebilcock | 10.0% | 14.2% | 16.7% | 14.6% | 14.7% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Mark Thompson | 1.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 15.7% | 14.9% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Darby Reddaway | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 18.3% | 20.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.