Race 9B

saisa-coed-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Charles Rees 45.4% 28.1% 14.8% 6.0% 3.6% 1.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Samuel Armington 9.7% 13.3% 15.6% 15.4% 13.1% 11.0% 9.7% 6.3% 3.8% 1.4% 0.7% 0.0%
Darby Reddaway 2.9% 2.1% 3.4% 4.1% 6.4% 6.1% 7.8% 7.7% 12.0% 13.9% 16.2% 17.4%
Stephan VerHulst 4.4% 9.0% 11.3% 12.8% 13.2% 12.3% 10.2% 9.6% 5.9% 7.2% 3.2% 0.9%
Timothy Siemers 14.5% 17.2% 18.7% 14.4% 12.6% 8.7% 6.1% 4.0% 2.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Scott Ewing 7.6% 10.4% 10.8% 13.2% 12.5% 14.1% 11.1% 8.1% 6.0% 3.8% 2.2% 0.2%
Rafael Melendez 2.1% 2.0% 3.4% 3.3% 5.5% 6.2% 5.9% 8.9% 11.9% 11.2% 17.3% 22.3%
Abbie Probst 1.5% 3.2% 4.3% 6.1% 4.6% 7.3% 6.6% 9.7% 12.1% 12.1% 16.2% 16.3%
Elizabeth O'Connor 3.3% 4.4% 4.7% 8.3% 10.0% 9.1% 11.4% 12.7% 11.3% 11.0% 8.3% 5.5%
Margaux Bacro-Duverger 4.2% 4.6% 6.5% 7.6% 7.8% 9.5% 11.9% 13.7% 10.4% 10.4% 7.1% 6.3%
Raymond Manngiaratti 2.2% 2.0% 3.0% 4.2% 4.7% 7.2% 8.7% 8.3% 14.1% 13.6% 14.1% 17.9%
Mark Thompson 2.2% 3.7% 3.5% 4.6% 6.0% 7.4% 9.8% 10.8% 10.4% 14.2% 14.3% 13.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.