Race 10B

saisa-coed-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Charles Rees 46.1% 27.3% 14.4% 7.1% 2.9% 1.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Ewing 6.4% 10.7% 13.0% 13.5% 13.7% 11.0% 10.7% 8.0% 7.5% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6%
Timothy Siemers 15.4% 17.1% 17.6% 13.9% 13.9% 10.4% 5.9% 3.4% 1.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Stephan VerHulst 5.3% 8.0% 11.7% 11.3% 12.8% 12.6% 12.6% 9.6% 6.1% 5.5% 3.4% 1.1%
Abbie Probst 1.7% 2.7% 4.0% 4.4% 4.8% 8.0% 8.3% 9.1% 12.8% 11.4% 16.0% 16.8%
Darby Reddaway 2.2% 2.1% 3.1% 6.0% 5.0% 6.6% 6.6% 9.4% 12.0% 13.8% 15.3% 17.9%
Samuel Armington 11.3% 14.8% 15.7% 14.6% 11.2% 12.2% 8.7% 6.0% 2.6% 2.0% 0.8% 0.1%
Mark Thompson 1.8% 4.2% 4.9% 4.8% 5.7% 7.5% 9.7% 11.1% 10.1% 14.0% 12.2% 14.0%
Raymond Manngiaratti 2.0% 2.3% 2.9% 4.0% 6.4% 7.5% 8.5% 10.6% 13.5% 14.5% 13.5% 14.3%
Rafael Melendez 1.3% 2.6% 3.6% 3.5% 4.5% 4.9% 6.8% 7.6% 10.6% 12.5% 18.0% 24.1%
Elizabeth O'Connor 3.2% 3.2% 4.5% 9.7% 8.1% 8.5% 9.9% 13.1% 12.0% 12.3% 9.6% 5.9%
Margaux Bacro-Duverger 3.3% 5.0% 4.6% 7.2% 11.0% 9.2% 11.7% 12.1% 11.6% 9.8% 9.3% 5.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.