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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook2.59+1.86vs Predicted
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2Hampton University3.02+0.39vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.71+1.41vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-0.16+3.54vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.49-0.34vs Predicted
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6William and Mary0.73+0.14vs Predicted
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7Villanova University1.53-2.27vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University0.55-1.46vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland1.00-3.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.86SUNY Stony Brook2.590.3%1st Place
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2.39Hampton University3.020.3%1st Place
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4.41Christopher Newport University1.710.1%1st Place
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7.54Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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4.66University of Pennsylvania1.490.1%1st Place
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6.14William and Mary0.730.0%1st Place
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4.73Villanova University1.530.1%1st Place
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6.54Syracuse University0.550.0%1st Place
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5.73University of Maryland1.000.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vidar Minkovsky | 25.9% | 22.2% | 20.8% | 13.9% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 33.2% | 28.9% | 18.2% | 10.5% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 9.3% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 17.4% | 14.6% | 15.1% | 10.5% | 6.1% | 1.2% |
| Haley Clemson | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 11.7% | 18.6% | 47.2% |
| Caroline Garth | 8.5% | 11.3% | 15.3% | 12.4% | 15.1% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 3.2% |
| Eric Roos | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 18.9% | 21.1% | 12.8% |
| Trevor Koerwer | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 16.2% | 16.6% | 17.0% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 2.7% |
| Zachary Warner | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 12.6% | 17.5% | 19.8% | 22.6% |
| Joseph Crouse | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 15.3% | 16.7% | 15.7% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.