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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University3.02+1.35vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.49+3.09vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook2.59-0.10vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.71+0.33vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland1.00+0.69vs Predicted
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6Villanova University1.53-1.22vs Predicted
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7William and Mary0.73-0.64vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University0.55-1.36vs Predicted
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9Drexel University0.45-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.35Hampton University3.020.4%1st Place
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5.09University of Pennsylvania1.490.1%1st Place
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2.9SUNY Stony Brook2.590.2%1st Place
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4.33Christopher Newport University1.710.1%1st Place
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5.69University of Maryland1.000.1%1st Place
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4.78Villanova University1.530.1%1st Place
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6.36William and Mary0.730.0%1st Place
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6.64Syracuse University0.550.0%1st Place
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6.87Drexel University0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximilian Kuester | 35.8% | 28.2% | 15.7% | 10.6% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Garth | 6.0% | 7.4% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 5.4% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 24.5% | 23.6% | 18.7% | 15.3% | 10.2% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Amanda Attardi | 10.0% | 13.3% | 15.4% | 15.0% | 15.5% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 2.4% |
| Joseph Crouse | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 12.4% |
| Trevor Koerwer | 8.1% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 15.1% | 12.8% | 7.0% | 4.4% |
| Eric Roos | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 17.8% | 21.5% | 17.4% |
| Zachary Warner | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 15.5% | 19.7% | 26.2% |
| John Ellis | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 19.6% | 31.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.