← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University2.10+7.25vs Predicted
-
2Yale University2.55+2.49vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00+6.81vs Predicted
-
4Brown University1.99+2.95vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College1.13+3.91vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University1.97+0.77vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-0.65vs Predicted
-
8Boston College2.09-2.05vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University1.15+0.11vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island0.99-0.44vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont0.48+0.16vs Predicted
-
12Connecticut College-0.13+1.72vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University1.22-4.14vs Predicted
-
14Dartmouth College1.71-7.01vs Predicted
-
15Maine Maritime Academy0.15-2.66vs Predicted
-
16Boston University1.14-7.71vs Predicted
-
17Middlebury College-1.22-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.25Harvard University2.106.0%1st Place
-
4.49Yale University2.5517.8%1st Place
-
9.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.003.0%1st Place
-
6.95Brown University1.998.1%1st Place
-
8.91Bowdoin College1.135.2%1st Place
-
6.77Roger Williams University1.979.0%1st Place
-
6.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.778.7%1st Place
-
5.95Boston College2.0910.0%1st Place
-
9.11Tufts University1.154.2%1st Place
-
9.56University of Rhode Island0.994.0%1st Place
-
11.16University of Vermont0.482.9%1st Place
-
13.72Connecticut College-0.131.2%1st Place
-
8.86Northeastern University1.224.7%1st Place
-
6.99Dartmouth College1.717.1%1st Place
-
12.34Maine Maritime Academy0.151.9%1st Place
-
8.29Boston University1.145.7%1st Place
-
15.5Middlebury College-1.220.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Emma Cowles | 17.8% | 16.1% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Slovensky | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 1.5% |
| Katharine Doble | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Rebecca Schill | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 0.7% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 3.9% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 14.6% | 27.1% | 19.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| bella casaretto | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jane Marvin | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 15.2% | 20.1% | 8.2% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Helen Coughlin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 12.8% | 62.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.