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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook2.59+1.89vs Predicted
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2Hampton University3.02+0.40vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland1.00+2.80vs Predicted
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4Villanova University1.53+0.62vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.71-0.76vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.49-1.27vs Predicted
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7William and Mary0.73-0.79vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University0.55-1.49vs Predicted
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9Drexel University-0.16-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89SUNY Stony Brook2.590.3%1st Place
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2.4Hampton University3.020.3%1st Place
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5.8University of Maryland1.000.0%1st Place
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4.62Villanova University1.530.1%1st Place
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4.24Christopher Newport University1.710.1%1st Place
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4.73University of Pennsylvania1.490.1%1st Place
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6.21William and Mary0.730.0%1st Place
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6.51Syracuse University0.550.0%1st Place
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7.6Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vidar Minkovsky | 25.5% | 21.8% | 20.0% | 15.6% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 34.1% | 26.9% | 18.9% | 10.5% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Crouse | 4.3% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 15.6% | 18.1% | 16.8% | 8.8% |
| Trevor Koerwer | 8.3% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 16.4% | 16.3% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 2.3% |
| Amanda Attardi | 11.0% | 14.2% | 16.6% | 12.9% | 16.5% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 2.6% |
| Caroline Garth | 8.2% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 15.7% | 16.3% | 16.0% | 11.9% | 7.7% | 2.7% |
| Eric Roos | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 16.0% | 16.9% | 21.8% | 13.3% |
| Zachary Warner | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 18.0% | 21.6% | 20.2% |
| Haley Clemson | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 17.7% | 50.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.