← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.75+1.35vs Predicted
-
2Brown University2.20-0.11vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University1.33-0.16vs Predicted
-
4Fairfield University-0.43+1.09vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Naval Academy-0.26-0.15vs Predicted
-
6Sacred Heart University-0.42-0.97vs Predicted
-
7Middlebury College-1.27-1.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.750.3%1st Place
-
1.89Brown University2.200.4%1st Place
-
2.84Tufts University1.330.2%1st Place
-
5.09Fairfield University-0.430.0%1st Place
-
4.85U. S. Naval Academy-0.260.0%1st Place
-
5.03Sacred Heart University-0.420.0%1st Place
-
5.94Middlebury College-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Oursler | 29.4% | 30.0% | 23.0% | 12.4% | 4.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Housberg | 44.3% | 32.6% | 15.4% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Giacobbe | 17.3% | 21.9% | 33.7% | 16.6% | 7.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Erin Godfrey | 1.9% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 16.6% | 24.6% | 27.5% | 17.2% |
| Christian Hoffman | 3.0% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 21.5% | 25.4% | 23.4% | 13.5% |
| Thomas Astram | 2.7% | 3.9% | 7.5% | 20.1% | 22.2% | 26.7% | 16.9% |
| Nathaniel Wiener | 1.4% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 13.3% | 19.8% | 51.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.