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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.28+0.56vs Predicted
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2Sacred Heart University1.52+0.11vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.16+0.36vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University-0.42+0.01vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-0.68-0.67vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut-2.28-0.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.56Brown University2.280.6%1st Place
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2.11Sacred Heart University1.520.3%1st Place
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3.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.160.1%1st Place
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4.01Fairfield University-0.420.0%1st Place
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4.33Middlebury College-0.680.0%1st Place
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5.63University of Connecticut-2.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macklin Fluehr | 58.1% | 30.8% | 9.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brooke McCarthy | 29.1% | 40.4% | 22.4% | 6.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| John Gumbleton | 7.6% | 14.1% | 31.4% | 30.8% | 14.2% | 1.9% |
| Ryan Carlucci | 2.7% | 7.8% | 21.0% | 29.4% | 32.4% | 6.7% |
| Alexie Lessing | 2.0% | 5.7% | 14.2% | 26.4% | 38.6% | 13.1% |
| Charles Zizza | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 5.5% | 12.6% | 78.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.