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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.28+0.56vs Predicted
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2Sacred Heart University1.52+0.10vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.16+0.35vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-0.68+0.27vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University-0.42-0.91vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut-2.28-0.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.56Brown University2.280.6%1st Place
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2.1Sacred Heart University1.520.3%1st Place
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3.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.160.1%1st Place
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4.27Middlebury College-0.680.0%1st Place
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4.09Fairfield University-0.420.0%1st Place
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5.62University of Connecticut-2.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macklin Fluehr | 58.2% | 30.4% | 9.2% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brooke McCarthy | 29.2% | 40.0% | 23.6% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| John Gumbleton | 7.5% | 14.0% | 32.1% | 30.1% | 14.6% | 1.7% |
| Alexie Lessing | 2.2% | 6.6% | 14.6% | 26.1% | 40.0% | 10.5% |
| Ryan Carlucci | 2.4% | 7.9% | 18.4% | 30.6% | 30.6% | 10.1% |
| Charles Zizza | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 5.7% | 12.9% | 77.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.